Defense will keep Ohio State perfect

By Ryan White
Daily Sports Writer

The Ohio State Police are already sitting on U.S. 23 waiting for Michigan drivers traveling a single mile per hour over the limit.

The bad news for those fine state troopers, however, is they probably won't have the opportunity to stop the Michigan offense for speeding. For that to happen, Michigan coach Lloyd Carr will have to get the Wolverines out of park first.

In their past two games, the Wolverines turned the ball over 10 times and scored just two touchdowns. That's not enough offense to beat Purdue, much less ... wait, they didn't beat Purdue. Never mind.

Ohio State is coming off a difficult, emotion-filled victory over Indiana. The Buckeyes clinched a Rose Bowl berth with their 27-17 victory over the Hoosiers. After the game, they reportedly celebrated for 20 minutes, then returned to watching the Michigan film they've been studying since early October.

Carr has said Ohio State's defense is one of the best in the past 25 years of the Big Ten. That doesn't bode well for Michigan's offense, or the Wolverines chances.

But since this is Michigan-Ohio State, who really knows what's going to happen. That said ...

The Matchups

Michigan rushing offense vs. Ohio State rushing defense:

Last season, Michigan freshman Charles Woodson solidified his claim as the top frosh in the conference against Ohio State.

This season, Ohio State linebacker Andy Katzenmoyer is looking to do the same.

Katzenmoyer is tied for second on the team in tackles with 66. He has 16 tackles for loss and nine sacks.

As a defense, Ohio State is giving up just 92.4 yards per game on the ground.

Chris Howard rushed for 120 yards last week against Penn State, but the Wolverines still lack consistency in their run game.

Tshimanga Biakabutuka ran for more than 300 yards against the Buckeyes last year and dragged half of the team down the field in the process.

Howard and Clarence Williams will be lucky if they rush for half of Bikabutuka's total combined.

Advantage: Ohio State

Michigan passing offense vs. Ohio State passing defense:

Michigan quarterback Scott Dreisbach has had his troubles as of late. Of course, that's like saying Boris Yeltsin only has minor health problems.

Dreisbach threw three interceptions and fumbled once against the Nittany Lions. Against Purdue, he was picked off twice and fumbled twice.

Still, Michigan co-captain Jarrett Irons said this week the one thing he knows about Dreisbach is that he'll bounce back. He'll need to bounce like a Superball for Michigan to win tomorrow.

Ohio State is giving up only 145.3 yards per game through the air. Shawn Springs, possibly the top defensive back in the league, leads the Ohio State secondary.

Springs has only 30 tackles and no interceptions this season, but that's because most teams throw away from him.

Saftey Damon Moore has five interceptions, and cornerback Ty Howard has four.

Add to that an experience defensive line and linebacking corps that has come up with 35 sacks, and again, Michigan is in trouble.

Advantage: Ohio State

Ohio State rushing offense vs. Michigan rushing defense:

If the Wolverines are going to win this game, or even keep it close, it will be up to the defense.

Junior tailback Pepe Pearson enters the game with 1,256 yards rushing on the season. And while his 125.6 yards-per-game average is impressive, he is no tougher a back to stop than Eddie George was last season.

George had 104 yards in last year's game but wasn't the dominating factor he had been all year.

Michigan has two things going for it in this catagory - William Carr and Jarrett Irons. Both are seniors, and both are playing their final regular-season game for Michigan.

The Wolverines are giving up only 104.6 yards rushing per game this year and should be able to stuff Ohio State in spite of guard Orlando Pace, who looks like the Stay Puft Marshmallow Man - only bigger.

Advantage: Michigan

Ohio State passing offense vs. Michigan passing defense:

The question here is who will be Ohio State's starting quarterback? Joe Germaine, Stanley Jackson or Jermaine Jackson?

Chances are it won't be the third, but after that, it's anyone's guess, including Tito's.

Jackson brings to the Ohio State offense the ablitity to scramble out of the pocket and run. The same ability that gave Michigan trouble against Purdue's Rick Trefzger.

Jermaine is the better dancer ... oops, Germaine is the better passer. He has completed on nearly 60 percent of his passes and connected for 13 touchdowns. He has only been picked off three times.

Michigan will need another big game from Charles Woodson and the rest of the secondary. The Wolverines also need to continue pressuring quarterbacks like they pressured Wally Richardson last week against Penn State.

Advantage: Even

Special teams:

If the two defenses do what they are capable of doing, tomorrow's game could come down to special teams, which could, again, be a major problem for Michigan.

You could say Michigan's special teams had problems against the Nittany Lions, but only in the sense that the offense has just been slightly off.

The Wolverines had one kick blocked and returned for a touchdown last week and had another partially blocked. The kick returns weren't all that great either.

Brent Bartholomew is averaging 42 yards a punt for Ohio State, while Paul Peristeris is averaging five yards less per kick.

Remy Hamilton has hit 14 of his 19 attempts for Michigan. Ohio State's Josh Jackson has made seven of his 11 trys.

One would expect Michigan to have the advantage here due to the fact that it gets to practice special teams more during the games.

But after last week's performance against Penn State ...

Advantage: Ohio State

IIf Ohio State gets out to an early lead, and the crowd gets even more riled up, the Buckeyes will be on their way to an undefeated regular season. And it may not be close.

But if Michigan's defense can keep the game close early, the game may go right down to the wire.

And, if Michigan's offensive line comes together, and the Wolverines' defense shuts down the Buckeyes, Michigan could win this game.

So, with that in mind ...

Prediction: Ohio State 35, Michigan 10

Prediction: Ohio State 17, Michigan 14

Prediction: Michigan 27, Ohio State 17

Could be any 'em.

11-22-96

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