Economist George Fulton predicted that the Michigan economy will continue to expand through the end of 2000, which will give the longest run of growth in the state in the past 50 years.
But the projected expansion will be at a slow yearly pace because it will include further declines in the number of manufacturing jobs.
Other economists said the projected pace of job creation falls short of what is required in order for the state economy to sustain its record-low unemployment rate.
Unemployment is expected to rise from a rate of 3.7 percent for the current year to 4 percent for 1999 and 4.5 percent for 2000. The labor market will still remain tight, with not much relief from the anticipated labor shortages.
Researchers said they anticipate overall increases of about 63,000 jobs in 1999 and 45,000 jobs in 2000 with three years of annual unemployment gains.
The number of jobs will increase by 1.4 percent in 1999 and 1 percent in 2000 - down from the 1.9 percent rate now predicted for the current year.
Audrey Gotsch, a 1966 University graduate of the School of Public Health, has been named the president of the American Health Association.
Gotsch will be the 14th graduate of the University School of Public Health Association to be named APHA president.
Gotsch currently is a professor and vice chair of the department of environmental and community medicine and director of the clinical prevention program at the University of Medicine and Dentistry of New Jersey-Robert Wood Johnson Medical School.
Gotsch, who has been an active member of APHA for 26 years, will serve a one-year term.
Among Gotsch's contributions to APHA is the creation of an environmental and occupational health science curriculum for kindergarten through seniors in high school students.
Gotsch received a bachelors degree from Indiana University in 1963 and a masters degree in public health from the University of Michigan in 1973.
Kinesiology research scientist Marvin Boluyt is one of the co-authors a chapter in a newly published book on the aging process of the human heart.
In the chapter "Cardiovascular Aging in Health," Boluyt and a colleague from Baltimore examine the changes that the human heart undergoes with age. The book is titled "Advances in Organ Biology."
The scientists describe how heart arteries stiffen in the teen-age years, how the maximum heart rate starts to slow at age 20 and how heart beats are increasingly uneven after age 30.
The researchers say the changes themselves do not lead to heart problems, but combined with genetic predisposition and an unhealthy lifestyle can contribute to heart disease.
Developing heart disease is increasingly more likely after age 60 as the combination of wear and tear on the heart and normal changes in the regulation of the heart take effect.
- Compiled by Daily Staff Reporter Susan T. Port.
o Circle K Weekly Meeting, Michigan Union, Anderson Room, 763-0811, 7 p.m.
Events
o "Toy Collection," Sponsored by Frieze Team, Frieze Building, Drop off toys in the front lobby.
Services
o Campus Information Centers, 763-INFO, info@umich.edu, and www.umich.edu/~info on the World Wide Web
o1998 Winter Commencement Information, find it at www.umich.edu/~gradinfo on the World Wide Web.
o Northwalk, 763-WALK, Bursley Lobby, 8 p.m.- 1:30 a.m.
o Psychology Academic Peer Advising, 647-3711, East Hall, Room 1346, 11 a.m.-4 p.m.
o Safewalk, 936-1000, Shapiro Library Lobby, 8 p.m.-2:30 a.m.
CALENDAR POLICY: The calendar's purpose is to provide a place for organizations to announce free events open to the University community. However, we can only print announcements the day of the event. Announcements for events that charge admission will not be run.
All items for THE CALENDAR must be mailed or delivered to the Daily at least three days before publication. Events on Friday, Saturday or Sunday must be submitted by 5 p.m. Wednesday prior to the event. We can not accept requests over the telephone, and we can not guarantee that an announcement turned in within three days of the event will be run.
12-03-98
| Previous Article | Next Article |
should be sent to: daily.letters@umich.edu | should be sent to: online.daily@umich.edu |